Wednesday, March 6, 2019

Counseling

Hello there My name is Clement Benedicts campaign or in short you can c all(prenominal) me Clement. Clement comes from Latin, which I set about made sure of directly from my p atomic number 18nts, and has the meaning of mild, good, and merciful. Benedicts comes from Benedict and has a context of being blessed. Whilst Running is my family name. In the sense of being suspect of where my name came from or even thought of by my parents, I asked my cause once on why she named me Clement Benedicts.My oldest sisters name is Calamine Beatrice, the routine being Scholars Benedicts, and hush, to make It rhyme, my mom thought of the name Clement Benedicts. And yes, all of us have the Initial of CB, which Is really adorable. My collection plate domain Is In Ind mavensia, an archipelago In south east of Asia. The one thing Im In neck with my infrastructure country Is Its traditional food the diversity and variety of the try on reminded me of what home Is like. Rending, one of Indonesia n traditional food, was even voted and declared as the lift out food In the world according to Conns pick of pleasant-tasting food.Indonesia, in my opinion, is the best rig for a luminary depart the exoticism of street food will definitely blow your mind away. The one thing I also love about my home is country is that it is the place where my families are being away thousands of miles from my family has jolted me that family is everything and I should forever and a day treasure it wherever I am. I chose foothill because of my friends recommendation. He said that the direct is located in the foot of a mountain and makes it really close-fitting for him to study.In love with the weather of mountains, I decided that foothill should be the best place to examine my study. Im majoring at business administration right now because I like to study how corporations or firms do their things and how they circulate the preservation. I requisite to transfer to University of Michigan, An n arbour to study either business or economy the reason is that my sister is also there and Eve read that Ann Arbor is one of the best places to be a student which Im planning to go there for my winter break.I dont really have a dream assembly line right now, but I do have a dream, that is to travel all ever the world and enjoy everything I see spot meeting a lot of people from contrastive countries and also different cultures. Counseling By Clement-Running the sense of being curious of where my name came from or even thought of by my oldest sisters name is Calamine Beatrice, the second being Classics Benedicts, and thus, to make it rhyme, my mom thought of the name Clement Benedicts. And yes, all of us have the initial of CB, which is really adorable.My home country is in Indonesia, an archipelago in south east of Asia. The one thing Im in love with my home country is its traditional food the diversity and variety of the taste reminded me of what home is like. Rending, one of I ndonesian traditional food, was even voted and declared as the best food in the world according culinary travel the exoticness of street food will definitely blow your mind away. The families are being away thousands of miles from my family has Jolted me that family I dont really have a dream Job right now, but I do have a dream, that is to travel all

Sociology 101 Study Guide Exam 4

Deviance1) defining aberrancy is difficult and subjective (sociologists fagt agree).2) for our purpose deviance mustA) violate significant norms.B) resultant in negative evaluation for reaction.1) run afoul theory. stress that the power elect grouping uses the legal system to control worker and to stabilize the social order, each with the goal of keeping itself in power. The poor pose a threat, for if they rise as a group they can dislodge members of the power elite from their place of privilege. To prevent this, the power elite makes certain that heavy penalties stimulate down on those whos nuisances could upset the social order.2) Functional theory- indicate that crime is a natural part of society. Stress that the sociall classes differ in opportunities for income and education, so they differ in opportunities for crime. As a result, street crime is high among the lower social classes and white-collar crime is higher among the higher social classes. The growing crime r ates of wo manpower illustrate how changing sex activity roles contain given women more access to what sociologist call illegitimate opportunities. 3) amicable foundations- Labeling Theory-questions who applies what label to whom, why they do this, and what happens as a result of this labeling.The conditional relation of reputations, how they help set us on paths that propel us into deviance or that diver us away from it. Anomie Theory-concept developed by Emile Durkheim to describe an absence of exempt societal norms and determine. In the concept of anomie individuals lack a sense of social regulation plenty sp matureliness unguided in the choices they have to make.Differential Association-a theory developed by Edwin Sutherland proposing that by dint of interaction with new(prenominal)s, individuals learn the values, attitudes, techniques, and motives for criminal behavior (how people learn to run low criminals).Crime 1). Elements 2). Categories- Mental illness 1) Dr. T homas Szasz mental illness are uncomplete mental nor illness. They are simply problem behaviors.2) Rosenhahn rent-A study done proving it is clear that we cannot distinguish the sane from the insane in psychiatric labels might be a solution and recommended education to make psychiatric workers more apprised of the social psychology of their facilities. In this study 8 mentally sizable people took hallucinations attempting to gain admission to 12 different psychiatric hospitals in five different states. All were admitted and diagnosed with psychiatric disorders.After admission they acted normal once more and told staff they felt fine, all were forced to admit to having t a mental illness and agree to take antipsychotic drugs as a condition of their release. All but one was diagnosed with schizophrenia. The second part of his study involved an offended hospital challenging Rosenhan to send pseudopatients to its facility, which its staff would thus detect. Rosenhan agreed and in the following weeks out of 193 new patients the staff identify 41 as potential pseudopatients, with 19 of these receiving suspicion from at least(prenominal) 1 psychiatrist and 1 other staff member.In fact Rosenhan had send no one to the hospital Substance Abuse1) Types of drug use-2) Social policy-3) Conflict view-Individuals and groups in society struggle to maximize their share of the trammel resources that pull round and are desired by humans. Given that there are limited resources, the struggle inevitably leads to mesh and competition. These struggles can lead to changes in institutions and societies as different groups come into power. Social control- The techniques and strategies for preventing deviant human behavior in any society.1) Formal- Expressed though law as statues, rules and regulations against deviant behavior. comm and carried out by those in a mark of power and/or mandate such as a police officer, judge, or trainway of a schooldays.2) familiar- Denomi nates customs, traditions, norms and other social values inherited by the individual. Informal sanctions whitethorn intromit ridicule, sarcasm, criticism and disapproval. In extreme cases sanctions may allow social discrimination and exclusion. Prejudice- An attitude or prejudging, usually in a negative way.Discrimination1) Individual- Treatment or consideration of, or making a distinction in favor of or against, a someone base on the race, class, group, or category to which that person or thing belongs quite an than on the individual.2) Institutional- The unfair, indirect treatment of an individual embedding in the operating procedures, policies, laws, or objectives of large organizations. Can occur without conscious cause, is often subtle and close to invisible, reinforced by the interrelationship of social institutions.Example- jobs not hiring people infra the height of 54 which eliminates most Mexicans and women, or in other countries women arent allowed to participate in some religious activities or g everyplacenment. Post-Industrial guild- Society based on information, services, and high technology, rather than on raw materials and manufacturing.Economic Systems1) Capitalism-An economic system characterized by the private ownership of the means of production, the pursuit of profit, and commercialize competition.2) Socialism-An economic system characterized b the public ownership of the means of production, interchange planning, and the distribution o goods without a profit motive. Genocide- The attempt to destroy a group of people because of their presumed race or ethnicity (ethnic cleansing). Minority-People who are singled out for un bear onized treatment and who regard themselves as objects of collective discrimination. Plessey vs Ferguson- Decision by the US Supreme Court that confirmed the principle of separate but equal and minority segregation.Brown vs Board of Education-This case took on segregation within school systems, or the separ ation of white and black students within public schools. Up until this case, many stats had laws establishing separate schools for white students and another for blacks. This landmark case do those laws unconstitutional. This case set the foundations for the civil rights movement. Exploitation Theory- occurs when one social group is able to take for itself what is produced by another group.The concept is central to the thought process of social oppression, especially from a Marxist perspective, and can also include noneconomic forms, such as he sexual exploitation of women by men under patriarchy. Amalgamation-(melting pot) all groups should combine their traditions calues and characteristics with one another to create a new group. Assimilation-The loss of a subaltern groups immanent language and culture under pressure to assimilate to those of a prevalent cultural group.Contact Hypothesis-This is the principle that brings people to playher who are in conflict (or where one is b ullying the other), the conflict will subside as they string to understand one another. supply1) Authority-Power that people consider legitimate, as rightly exercised over them also called legitimate power.2) Traditional-Those who exercise authority do so because they fall out a tradition and support the preservation and continuation of existing values and social ties. For example Queen is Head of States in Britain, a position she inherited on the basis of traditional rules of succession for the monarchy.3) Rational Legal- Those in authority give orders (and expect to be obeyed) because the office they fill gives them the right to give orders. Anyone who fills the same position has the right to issue orders. Orders are only to be obeyed if they are relevant to the situation in which they are given. Example, a teacher orders complete your homework by Thursday the order is expect to be obeyed, but if the same teacher asked the student to go get her milk from the store, they wouldnt be expected to obey.4) Charismatic-People obey because of the personal qualities of the person doing the telling. Well-known charismatic figures include Jesus Christ, Hitler, and Chairman Mao. However, charismatic figures may arise in any social grouping and such people assume positions of authority over others on the basis of personal qualities of leading b other group members.5) Coercive-People forced to do as they are told under threat of punishment. For example a prison or a school classroom.6) Renumerative-Power rest on the material means provided by money or some other reward which the members desire and the organization controls. Government-Political authority a group of people who have the power to make and put on laws for a country or area.1) Monarchy-A state or nation in which the supreme power is actually or nominally lodged in monarch. The head of state is often for life or until abdication.2) Democracy-Have the consent of the people. The officials xercising power have legitimate authority because they have been elected, and the mechanism for changing the government is through and through peaceful and regular elections.3) Oligarchy-Political power effectively rest with a small, elitre particle of society. Greek for few rule4) Totalitarianism-The state regulates nearly every opinion of public and private behavior.5) Dictatorship-A government headed by a dictator or more generally any authoritarian or totalitarian government. Power Elite-C. Wright Mills term for the top people in U. S. corporations, military, and governmental who make the nations major decisions. Types of Work-

Tuesday, March 5, 2019

Discovering Truth in Personal Experience

There are a few elect moments in a persons biography that are pivotal and sprightliness-changing. I learn been fortunate to have one of those moments in my life and I think that it has shaped my personality and character today. As I look back to that experience, I am amused by the situation that it took me some grades to see to it how influential my mettlesome give lessons biology discoverer was in shaping my values towards education, hard work, and responsibility. I was except a teenager when I met her and naturally, I did non care the least(prenominal) about how she was teaching us or what impact she was making on our volatile and malleable minds.But years after I left uplifted school and have now encountered various situations that challenged my character and personality, I go out how her methods of teaching equipped me to face these situations. When she was teaching us high school biology during the support year of high school, she already had two children. It was non surprising that I and my peers ever felt that she treated us actually motherly, concerned not only if with our academic performance but in any case with our character formation.She taught us beyond the clear uproom and was always accessible all the same outside the school premises. She was very interactive and made trusted that we have healthy communion. Once, I and a few my partmates were having difficulty with a science laboratory experimentation which she made us do. Without hesitation, she invited us over her house and helped us accomplish the experiment by guiding us by dint of the instructions. She was suit and open to questions and even complaints.There was a healthy exchange in our communication and during that year with her, I experienced how guidance could aid student in charting their progress. Because of the nature of her screen out, she was able to instill to us the value of cooperation and interaction within the collection. She maximized our labora tory sessions to instruct us how a team functions. The class was not her monopoly. She delegated as much responsibility to us and put confidence in our skills and capacity to work together. Our laboratory sessions became more than tedious, repetitive and routine class requirements.Aside from including bits of fun in it, she as well made sure that we work in effect in conclaves. She constantly monitored how we go through experiments, roaming around the laboratory and observing one group after another. She insisted on involving every member of the group and I remember that she specifically designed her experiments to ensure that everybody in the group participates. Nobody was left behind in her class. It is very important that a class progress as whole and not only individuals or trustworthy groups within the class.The sign of an in effect(p) instructor is that he or she sufficiently meets the needs of every student in the class. I realize now how huge her responsibilities were trying to assess how each of her students learn and teach in a way that enables her to match these various learning styles. It was during the second year of my high school when I learned to depend on my skills. This was primarily made possible by my biology teacher who always encouraged us to learn actively, using our witness strengths and capabilities.She rarely monopolized the class by spoon feeding information to us. Instead, she allowed us to discover the answers for ourselves. During our class discussion on taxonomy, she had each of us report on the raw material classification of animal and plant kingdom giving us only the bare details. She suggested a few places where we can gather information, but she did not assign a book or a particular material. She verbalize that we can stretch our creativity in our reports as long we arise the class on our assigned topic.As her way of guiding us through the task, she opened her office for consultation. I realized that she was adaptin g methods used in college by allowing us to be independent students. Through her efforts of making our learning active, I learned to form study habits on my own and depend on my own skills and capabilities in accomplishing goals. In terms of reaching goals, my biology teacher also influenced my wizard of time. When working on certain tasks inside the class, she reminded us that we were bound by time and cannot afford to lax or procrastinate.She was unmitigated on deadlines and imposed sanctions on those who disregard the schedule she set. Time oversight is a crucial part of effective education and she made sure that we internalize that importance during that year. It was just recently that I encountered Stephen Coveys The Seven Habits of Highly sound People in which he gives certain guidelines on effective time management. As I look back, I realize that my high school teacher was already teaching us some of the basic principles which Covey outlines in his book.One important infor mation which my teacher imparted on us was prioritization which Covey emphasizes in the section Put premier(prenominal) Things First (1989). My biology teacher taught us to make important, but not urgent in Coveys words, matters a top priority in our lives. By this, she meant that we should be balanced individuals devoting our time not only to her render but also to our families and friends. It was important for her that we balance our activities because she told us that education was not merely based on the book.Education goes beyond the confines of the class and the textbook. learning is useless if it does not fit appropriately in an individuals life. Thus, she taught us not only to value time but also to assess how our high school education figures in the rest of our life plans. By showing me and my classmates an overview of life, not only in the literal sense knowing that she taught biology, I was able to endure the tedious parts of high school and utilize my learning to be a more effective student in my succeeding education.I only spent a year with my biology teacher and most of informational things she taught us regarding the science of life I have already forgotten. But, she remains to be of central significance in my life education because what she imparted to me were skills essential not only to pass an tryout but to survive life in general. Her methods and her nurturing character helped me discover my own strength, the value of cooperation and the high regard for the limits of time.ReferenceCovey, S. (1989). The Seven Habits of Highly Effective People. UK Simon and Schuster.

Final Exam Solutions (Leadership and Organizational Behavior) Essay

1. TCO A, B) Define organisational mien and contestation the four emotional intelligence competencies that contribute to understanding ourselves and others within the organizational behavior environment.2. (TCO D) Referring to the team decision-making process, define consensus and unanimity and explain the difference amid the ii. 3. (TCO E, F) Although conflict is usually considered a negative experience to be avoided, it in truth has the potential to produce absolute organizational outcomes. Please identify deuce-ace ways in which conflict can be a positive influence.4. (TCO G) There are six sources of note power in organizational settings. Identify and define three of these sources.5. (TCO H, I, J) The senior executive team at AllGoodThings.com, after a strategy review session with the Board of Directors, has flavorated that its time to invest some time and capital in improving the corporate culture. The company has rebounded from a near calamity two years ago, and while it was a great scramble, the company survived and is in the strongest position ever. They knew that the culture had been strained by the episode and wanted sincerely to compute to bring things back to normal. With the assistance of local HR offices, a suit of clothes was made to the employee population that certain aspects of their current culture might waste suffered over the past few years and that it was time to think closely change.They announced that they would be undergoing an organizational culture review and that everyones opinion was valued. A whopping 79% of the employees participated in the survey that they administered. Senior way had worked with the consultants for a few months before the survey was given and had determined their angel scores. The survey confirmed their suspicions.6. (TCO C) As a manager you are in a situation where a key employee seems to have lost his rubor about the job. The employees familiar positive tone and high efficiency approach to the job and the workplace seem to be on the wane. You authentically dont know what is going on with this person. But, you can submit to start to understand this employee by examining various motive theories. Use elements from to each one of Maslows theory, Herzbergs Two-Factor theory, and Equity theory and assemble your own motivation theory to help you to start understanding this employee.Be sure to full explain and define all elements that you use in your new example of motivation. Finally, compose a short case to demonstrate how your motivation stick can actually be applied. 7. (TCO G) The Michigan and Ohio State studies represent originative research on leadership theory. Both studies identified two grassroots forms of leader behaviors. What were the similarities in the findings from these two studies and what was the significance of the research?8. (TCO A, B) In request to meet organizational goals and objectives management must comprehend organizational behavior in relat ionship to the functions of management. List and light upon the management process functions and describe how the five personality traits contribute to the management process.9. (TCO E, F) Neff Incorporated is a teensy-weensy business with 100 employees and 4 managers.10.(TCO D) Define the concept of social faineance. wherefore does social loafing occur? Give an example of social loafing and a suggestion for how to prevent it.

Monday, March 4, 2019

College Experience Essay

Growing up college was never an alternative for me I finished advanced school and moved from Cuba to the United States. English was a language that seemed unaccepted for me and in my perspective I thought I could get by with owning a task and living off of that. When tax season arrived similar every year I had my accountant do them for me, nonetheless, I reviewed my business taxes and figured out that there were inaccuracies. I decided to ask the four-in-hand of H&R Block near my business to overlook my taxes for me and plot I explained the inconsistencies discovered, she suggested that I should become an accountant. Thats when my college experience began, where I hoped to rise knowledge in accounting, learn towards other subjects, and acquire traits that give up been hard for me to attain. Speech was one of the first classes I took and noticing the struggle I was having with the language, I began to feel overstressed and felt the need to quit.The professor of the class over heard me stating to my classmate that I didnt think I can handle the class, she interfered in the intercourse and began encouraging me to take it and alleged to not lose hope and pass over fighting for my dreams. Giving me motivation and inspiration, I decided to stay in college because of the professor. I continued my courses and began to learn step by step procedures on accounting and the right ways to do so. My knowledge began to increase and my hobby in the accounting field began to grow. Being in college has given me the cogency to learn not that accounting but other subjects such(prenominal) as Literature, English, Ethics, and other related subjects that provided me with the motivation I needed to work in my education in a blink of an eye I was receiving my associates degree of science in accounting Magna semen Laude. This gave me the inspiration to move forward with my c areer and obtain my bachelors degree in accounting.Learning about other subjects helped me in cha nge my comprehension and helped me become to a greater extent wise in not only academics but in life as well. My college experience was not some social function sluttish to deal with, it was emotionally stressing. Lifes pressure of maintaining a house, on the job(p) and taking care of my children was a difficult thing to do era attending college. One of the most challenging obstacles in college are the appellations, quizzes, and preparing for man-sized tests. Not procrastinating is one of the things helped me deal with my stress. As soon as an assignment was given I would start on it right away to have more time afterwards to review and edit my work.Encouragement and motivation gave me the strength to continue when I thought I was never release to attain the ability to graduate from college. Knowledge was not the only thing I obtained from college. I knowledgeable to believe in myself, be more ambitious, and follow my dreams which were traits I thought I could never accomplis h. I learned towards other subjects that made me an improved individual overall. I believe these are the key aspects to get through college successfully and wisely. These aspects helped me take the right steps into the future of my career and my life. Two classes away from graduating I hope that I will not only become a responsible, perseverant, and confident maestro in my work field but as an individual as well.

Character and Stories

Out of the many an(prenominal) stories that we reach to comp atomic number 18, the best would have to be The Candide and Dantes Inferno. There are many contrary ways that you can compare these two analogous stories. The most obvious comparison from the beginning would have to be righteousness. several(prenominal)(prenominal)(prenominal) of these stories begin with a man that has some type of issue or tries to decide how to agglomerate and question religion. Another way to compare these stories is how both stories were controversial at the time because of their religious meanings.Dantes inferno was passing controversial because of the point that it described hell in such(prenominal) a detailed way and painted a vivid picture for such a negative place. Candied was controversial because of the way it concluded. Since both of these stories had to do with religion it makes sense that it would have controversy. Most stories that have to do with religion in matchless way or anot her have some sort of controversy with them.There are too many citizenry that have many incompatible beliefs and ideas of what religion is for it not to be one of the more(prenominal) controversial storylines. Another way to compare both of these stories is by noticing the fact that both Dante and Candide both end up having mentors or plenty that answer them guide them through the story. This is another connection that religion brings together Virgil as a guide to attend him perish through hell. In Candide, Pangloss helps Candide travel through his journey as well.This is a common theme in stories that have to do with religion because a lot of religious stories deal with a person either not believing or having raise up finding religion and using a guide or a mentor having their own connection to religion. For example, Pangloss was a philospher that had many strong theories nearly religion. On Dantes inferno Virgil was an pagon so he was deeply attached in the religion to help the main character to understand and help himcome to a conclusion about what his conflict is and how to solve it. Both stories similarly had very elaborate sexual scenes.In Candide, Pangloss contracted syphilis from a fille de chambre named Panquete. In Dantes Inferno the second circle was designed for people who committed lust crimes while on earth. I imagine that different sexual partners were not received and were also frowned upon making these acts known in both stories helped signify what people believed was right or wrong. I believe some of the issues that they had would be replaced that we find wrong in our society or magnified so that religion can help separate what is accepted and what is not. For example, I believe if it as this day and age that peoples sexual orientation would play a much bigger affair in Dantes inferno. Also, in both stories there are triplex people that meet throughout the story that all have different outlooks on life, religion, and philosoph y. I believe this helps to make the story more gratifying so the main character does not only have one idea to believe in. it also makes the story more realistic by making the main character choose between different people to trust or different people to help him guide him through the story.

Sunday, March 3, 2019

The Geranium

Date 15/02/10 Title The Geranium Text type Short theme Author Patricia grace This short story, The Geranium, by Patricia decorate and published 1993, is a perfect framework of Battered woman syndrome and the mental effects it has on a individual in this case Marney. In the geranium, the main character, Marney is a stay at home mother. She cleans intensely all solar day and seems rather dull. She does not ensue the house even when one of the girls tells her to come for a stretch. You know she is hesitant and you foundation feel that there is something stopping her from leaving.There seems to be a routine of non-stop cleaning, because when her friends, Sandra and Joe, come over this doesnt stop her from making certain(predicate) things atomic number 18 clean, she even sets down paper to stop the floor compactting soggy again. Her demeanor is so boring that the highlight of her week is the arrival of the paper that came on a Wednesday. The paper is a widow to the outsi de valet that she is no longstanding able to access. Although the paper shows her all kinds of things she could do and clubs she could enter, she cant because of a mental block built up by the continuous contumely from move.The infringe becomes more clear with the return of trail her husband. When Bob comes home he immediately starts demands what she has been doing all day. He asks questions close whether shes been digging and cleaning and whos been over. He is so commanding that he has to know ever little detail to make sure he does not find out different. When he finds out close The Geranium he tells her to chuck that thing out. This is a clear demonstration of his visualize, because Marney throws it extraneous without question even though ahead we see that she really cute it.These demonstrations of Bobs dominance show us the reason for Marneys resistance to leave for the shops earlier and why she finds the housework so important. The conflict is resolved when Marne y throws out the Geranium at Bobs command. This part of the story is significant because it is Marneys chance to stand up for something she wants. We see earlier in the story that the Geranium is something that she has wanted it is something to bring some colour into her dull, boring, hoary conduct. A bit of change to brighten her days.But she is damaged from her abuse, and shows she has no freewill. Immediately faltering under Bobs orders she put it into a folderol bucket as if it was of little matter to her. The sink emptying is her life being drained away. She watches as her life is taken away from here, because she was unable to speak up. She has let her chance slip away and has been doomed to the said(prenominal) dull days. I think the ideas that Patricia Grace is trying to get crossways is that domestic violence isnt all physical, that it can happen rattling much female genital organ the scenes and the ways in which it can affect people.Although we get hints that Marne y is physically abused such as when Grace mentions that Marney would put on her cardigan to hide her arm, and when Bob grips her arm until it hurts, we never actually get either evidence of serious physical abuse. When the Sandra and Joe come over they dress Bob up as an amazing guy compared to their drunkard partners. Bob of all time has the groceries, and doesnt come home drunk all the time. But behind the scenes he is very different from the picture the girls have made. He is jeopardize towards Marney and extremely controlling.He has scared into such an intense routine that she is no longer able to change that routine and is stuck to doing whatever he wants her to. This shows us that domestic violence can occur without the knowledge of the people that surrounding. Grace has showed us the way abuse can affect someone finished the way Marney is. She has been so controlled by Bob that she can no longer even think for herself. She has Battered Woman Syndrome and is completely unde r his control that she can not even reach out for help. These effects of her abuse show us how badly the aftermath of abuse affect someone just as bad as the abuse itself.The thing that I didnt enjoy about this story is the style of writing. It is written in a boring way to emphasis the way Marneys life is, and although it serves the purpose it left me feeling uninterested. What I did like the storyline. The way in which the conflict developed. I liked the way it starts off with what seems like Marney pass about a normal day and then it turns into a day that that brings forth all her abuse and problems. Mainly starting with the arrival of her friends. These developments come about us a great insight into a day in the life of Marney. And it is not a pretty picture.